Debiasing the Hot Hand

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Title: Debiasing the Hot Hand
Creators: DeSalvatore, Sam
Advisor: DeKay, Michael
Issue Date: 2012-12
Abstract: Gilovich et al. (1985) found the presence of the hot hand belief in basketball. Since then, it has been found in many other sporting domains. However, to date, there have been no published successful debiasing techniques. The current study will attempt to replicate Gilovich et al.’s results as well as provide a simple yet successful debiasing technique involving base rates (season shooting percentages). We found evidence against the presence of the hot hand but found the relevance of base rate information.
Embargo: No embargo
Series/Report no.: The Ohio State University. Department of Psychology Honors Theses; 2012
Keywords: hot hand
gambler's fallacy
base rate
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